Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
