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Serie B | Gameweek 13
Nov 20, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
2 - 3
Alessandria

Mancosu (21'), Dickmann (28')
Crociata (67'), Colombo (72')
Viviani (88')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Chiarello (23'), Corazza (35'), Arrighini (38')
Lunetta (60'), Di Gennaro (64')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Alessandria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 18.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawAlessandria
57.85%23.26%18.89%
Both teams to score 49.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73%50.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78%72.22%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88%17.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.67%47.33%
Alessandria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26%40.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68%77.32%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 57.84%
    Alessandria 18.89%
    Draw 23.25%
SPALDrawAlessandria
1-0 @ 12.3%
2-0 @ 10.86%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 6.39%
3-1 @ 5.74%
4-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 57.84%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 6.26%
1-2 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.81%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 18.89%

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