Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 1-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 1-0 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
