Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Cittadella
48.81% ( -1.35)	28.17% ( 0.42)	23.02% ( 0.93)

Both teams to score 41.34% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.64% (

-0.6)

63.36% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.27% (

-0.43)

82.73% (

0.44)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74% (

-0.93)

26.26% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63% (

-1.26)

61.37% (

1.26)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.06% (

0.6)

43.94% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.92% (

0.49)

80.07% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Bari 48.8%

Cittadella 23.02%

Draw 28.15%

Bari	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 15.42% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.85% Total : 48.8%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.02%