Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
0.03) 
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