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Serie B | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
1 - 1
Bari

Galazzi (1')
Matej Juric (16'), Adorni (21'), Paghera (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dorval (24')
Falletti (56'), Sibilli (60'), Pucino (67')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juve Stabia 0-0 Brescia
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 3-2 Cittadella
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawBari
32.69% (0.032000000000004 0.03) 27.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 40% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.48% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04% (0.016999999999996 0.02)55.95% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.95% (0.012 0.01)77.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)31.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)68.31% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.012 -0.01)62.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 32.69%
    Bari 40%
    Draw 27.3%
BresciaDrawBari
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.82% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 32.69%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Juve Stabia 0-0 Brescia
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 2-3 Cosenza
Saturday, November 9 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Brescia
Sunday, November 3 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Spezia
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cesena 2-0 Brescia
Saturday, October 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 2-5 Sassuolo
Saturday, October 19 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 3-2 Cittadella
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Bari
Sunday, November 10 at 4.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 2-2 Reggiana
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 0-0 Carrarese
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Spezia 0-0 Bari
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Catanzaro
Friday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Serie B


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