Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.