Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 1-0 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
