Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Cittadella	Draw	Mantova
44.42% ( 1.34)	27.08% ( -0.15)	28.5% ( -1.19)

Both teams to score 48.37% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.47% (

0.06)

56.53% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.48% (

0.05)

77.52% (

-0.05)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.68% (

0.71)

25.31% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.91% (

0.96)

60.09% (

-0.97)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.76% (

-0.89)

35.23% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01% (

-0.93)

71.99% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

Cittadella 44.41%

Mantova 28.5%

Draw 27.08%

Cittadella	Draw	Mantova
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.41%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.5%