Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spezia win with a probability of 62.1%. A draw has a probability of 22% and a win for Mantova has a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Mantova win it is 0-1 (5.61%).
-0.48) 
0.23) 
