Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 43.78%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mantova in this match.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Cittadella
43.78% ( 0.13)	27.92% ( -0.02)	28.3% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 45.9% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.38% (

0.03)

59.62% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.05% (

0.02)

79.95% (

-0.02)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.94% (

0.08)

27.06% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.57% (

0.11)

62.43% (

-0.11)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.93% (

-0.08)

37.07% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

-0.08)

73.86% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Mantova 43.77%

Cittadella 28.3%

Draw 27.92%

Mantova	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 13.11% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.77%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.92%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.3%