Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Modena had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Cittadella	Draw	Modena
40.8% ( 0.04)	27.21% ( -0.02)	31.99% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 49.54% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.22% (

0.07)

55.78% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.09% (

0.06)

76.91% (

-0.06)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15% (

0.06)

26.85% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84% (

0.07)

62.16% (

-0.07)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.73% (

0.03)

32.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.24% (

0.03)

68.76% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Cittadella 40.8%

Modena 31.99%

Draw 27.21%

Cittadella	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.99%