SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Modena |
53.77% ( -0.2) | 24.89% ( 0.18) | 21.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.01% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.35% ( -0.69) | 53.65% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( -0.58) | 75.14% ( 0.58) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% ( -0.35) | 19.92% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.94% ( -0.56) | 52.06% ( 0.56) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% ( -0.38) | 40.04% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.31% ( -0.35) | 76.69% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.35% |
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