SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Modena had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Modena |
50.11% ( -0.49) | 25.54% ( 0.29) | 24.35% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% ( -0.96) | 53.34% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% ( -0.82) | 74.88% ( 0.82) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.69% ( -0.6) | 21.31% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.75% ( -0.93) | 54.25% ( 0.93) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.01% ( -0.35) | 36.98% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.22% ( -0.35) | 73.77% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.38% Total : 50.1% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.35% |
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