SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
65.08% ( -0.05) | 20.3% ( 0.14) | 14.61% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.47% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.84% ( -0.8) | 45.16% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( -0.77) | 67.5% ( 0.78) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( -0.26) | 13.09% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.3% ( -0.53) | 39.7% ( 0.53) |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.62) | 43.08% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.65% ( -0.53) | 79.35% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bari | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.96% Total : 65.07% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.3% | 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.5% Total : 14.61% |
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