Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cremonese in this match.