SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Cremonese |
| 29.51% | 27.58% | 42.9% |
| Both teams to score 47.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.07% | 57.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.37% | 78.63% |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% | 35.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.05% | 71.95% |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.27% | 26.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38% | 62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ascoli | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.51% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 12.41% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 8.19% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 2% Total : 42.9% |
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