SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Virtus Entella | Draw | Cremonese |
| 30.27% | 27.14% | 42.58% |
| Both teams to score 49.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% | 56.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% | 77.13% |
| Virtus Entella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.36% | 33.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.72% | 70.28% |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.96% | 26.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.92% | 61.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Virtus Entella | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.27% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 11.78% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 3.88% 0-3 @ 3.56% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.57% |
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