Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
