SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
| 48.36% | 26.63% | 25.01% |
| Both teams to score 47.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.12% | 56.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.2% | 77.8% |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% | 23.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.37% | 57.64% |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% | 38.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.89% | 75.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.6% Total : 48.36% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.66% 1-2 @ 6% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.01% |
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