SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Ternana |
| 28.53% | 26.22% | 45.25% |
| Both teams to score 50.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% | 53.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% | 74.82% |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% | 33.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.89% | 70.11% |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% | 23.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.51% | 57.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 8.6% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 2.49% 3-2 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.4% Total : 28.53% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.86% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.58% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.24% |
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