Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cosenza Calcio in this match.