SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 70.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 70.86% | 18.52% | 10.61% |
| Both teams to score 43.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.05% | 46.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.8% | 69.2% |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% | 11.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.61% | 37.39% |
| Cosenza Calcio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.21% | 50.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.8% | 85.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Perugia | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
| 2-0 @ 13.69% 1-0 @ 12.9% 3-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-1 @ 6.57% 4-0 @ 5.14% 4-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.03% Total : 70.85% | 1-1 @ 8.75% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.55% Total : 18.52% | 0-1 @ 4.12% 1-2 @ 2.96% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.13% Total : 10.61% |
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