Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 70.86%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.9%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.