Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.