Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
