Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
