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Serie B | Gameweek 5
Oct 23, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
3 - 1
Pisa

Moreo (38'), La Mantia (75', 82')
Mancuso (30'), Moreo (43'), La Mantia (76'), Fiamozzi (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Masucci (12')
Gucher (45+3'), Birindelli (68')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Empoli and Pisa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawPisa
46.15%25.28%28.56%
Both teams to score 53.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.59%49.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55%71.44%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58%21.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58%54.41%
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.81%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 46.15%
    Pisa 28.57%
    Draw 25.27%
EmpoliDrawPisa
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 46.15%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.73%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.57%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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