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Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Leonardo Garilli

FeralpiSalo
1 - 1
Modena

Balestrero (9')
Felici (25'), Balestrero (42'), Fiordilino (53')
Felici (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Falcinelli (2')
Oukhadda (53'), Gargiulo (83'), Pergreffi (88'), Palumbo (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between FeralpiSalo and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palermo 3-0 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 2-0 Pisa
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FeralpiSalo win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Modena had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
FeralpiSaloDrawModena
37.81% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 26.93% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 35.25% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (0.055 0.05)54.15% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44% (0.046000000000003 0.05)75.56% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
FeralpiSalo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (0.057999999999993 0.06)29.3% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (0.067999999999998 0.07)65.26% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    FeralpiSalo 37.81%
    Modena 35.25%
    Draw 26.93%
FeralpiSaloDrawModena
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.81%
1-1 @ 12.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.13% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Palermo 3-0 FeralpiSalo
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 3-0 FeralpiSalo
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 0-2 Sudtirol
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 2-0 FeralpiSalo
Sunday, August 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Torino 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Monday, August 14 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: FeralpiSalo 2-1 Vicenza
Sunday, August 6 at 7pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Modena 2-0 Pisa
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Modena
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Ascoli
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Genoa 4-3 Modena
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Modena 2-1 Sudtirol
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Benevento 2-1 Modena
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B


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