Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 56.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.05) 
