Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
