Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cittadella in this match.
