Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
