Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
-0.68) 
0.07) 
