SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Sampdoria |
31.9% ( 0.22) | 25.53% ( -0.05) | 42.57% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.82% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( 0.28) | 48.99% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( 0.26) | 71.07% ( -0.25) |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.29) | 28.9% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.23% ( 0.35) | 64.77% ( -0.35) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.04) | 22.9% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( 0.06) | 56.66% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.39% 0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.57% |
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