Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.