Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.