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Serie B | Gameweek 11
Dec 12, 2020 at 1pm UK
Stadio Via del Mare
FL

Lecce
2 - 2
Frosinone

Adjapong (44'), Mancosu (60')
Adjapong (14'), Meccariello (51'), Listkowski (82'), Tachtsidis (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Parzyszek (15' pen.), Novakovich (89')
Kastanos (58'), Novakovich (88'), Curado (90+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and Frosinone.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawFrosinone
44.7%25.25%30.05%
Both teams to score 54.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49%48.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36%70.64%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.09%29.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.98%66.02%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 44.7%
    Frosinone 30.05%
    Draw 25.24%
LecceDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.14%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 7.22%
0-2 @ 4.73%
1-3 @ 2.91%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 30.05%

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