Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.