Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Pescara had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Pescara win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.