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Serie A | Gameweek 38
Aug 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Via del Mare
PL

Lecce
3 - 4
Parma

Barak (40'), Meccariello (45'), Lapadula (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Lucioni (11' og.), Caprari (24'), Cornelius (52'), Inglese (66')
Kurtic (34'), Alves (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawParma
44.66%23.84%31.49%
Both teams to score 60.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49%41.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09%63.91%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16%18.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71%50.29%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51%25.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67%60.32%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 44.66%
    Parma 31.49%
    Draw 23.83%
LecceDrawParma
2-1 @ 9.14%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 44.66%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 4.8%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-1 @ 6.56%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.49%


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