Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi
FT(HT: 2-0)
Raimondo (51', 69'), Luperini (76')
Falletti (45+3'),
Raimondo (68'), de Boer (88'), Luperini (90+2')
de Boer (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecco and Ternana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.
| Result |
| Lecco | Draw | Ternana |
32.2% ( 0.15) | 26.42% ( 0.13) | 41.37% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( -0.37) |
| 47.37% ( -0.49) | 52.62% ( 0.49) |
| 25.72% ( -0.43) | 74.27% ( 0.42) |
| 69.48% ( -0.15) | 30.51% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.17) | 66.73% ( 0.17) |
| 74.89% ( -0.37) | 25.11% ( 0.37) |
