Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
