Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Ternana |
42.54% ( 1.05) | 26.22% ( 0.01) | 31.24% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 52.31% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.89% ( -0.39) | 52.11% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.17% ( -0.34) | 73.83% ( 0.34) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% ( 0.36) | 24.28% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% ( 0.5) | 58.65% ( -0.5) |
Ternana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( -0.92) | 30.91% ( 0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% ( -1.09) | 67.2% ( 1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Ternana |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.22% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.01% Total : 31.24% |
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