SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecco | Draw | Parma |
26.62% ( -0.64) | 24.74% ( 0.07) | 48.63% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% ( -0.74) | 48.4% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% ( -0.68) | 70.54% ( 0.68) |
| Lecco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( -0.89) | 32.4% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( -1.01) | 68.91% ( 1.02) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% ( -0.06) | 19.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.9% ( -0.09) | 52.09% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecco | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.63% |
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