Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Ternana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result |
| Modena | Draw | Ternana |
40.29% ( -0.02) | 27.33% ( 0.01) | 32.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.02) |
| 43.89% ( -0.03) | 56.11% ( 0.03) |
| 22.82% ( -0.02) | 77.18% ( 0.02) |
| 72.71% ( -0.03) | 27.29% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.04) | 62.73% ( 0.03) |
| 67.84% ( -0) | 32.16% ( 0.01) |
