Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Modena
42.19% ( -0)	27.16% ( -0)	30.64%

Both teams to score 49.19% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44% (

55.99% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.91%

77.08% (

-0)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

-0)

26.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68%

61.31%

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

33.33% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

69.95% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bari 42.18%

Modena 30.64%

Draw 27.16%

Bari	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.18%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.64%