Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Caso (18'), Palumbo (38'), Beyuku Bowutankoyi (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Mantova.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 25.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result |
| Modena | Draw | Mantova |
48.49% ( -0.01) | 26.49% ( 0) | 25.02% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% |
| 43.61% ( -0) | 56.39% ( 0) |
| 22.59% ( -0) | 77.41% |
| 76.7% ( -0) | 23.3% ( 0) |
