Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Trapani Calcio had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Trapani Calcio win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
