SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 41%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Cittadella |
| 31.4% | 27.59% | 41% |
| Both teams to score 48.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% | 57.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.82% | 78.17% |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% | 33.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.87% | 70.13% |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% | 27.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.02% | 62.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.39% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.88% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41% |
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