Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pescara win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pescara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pescara would win this match.