Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Bari had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
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