Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
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